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    <title>Two Psychologists Four Beers - Episodes Tagged with “Prediction”</title>
    <link>https://www.fourbeers.com/tags/prediction</link>
    <pubDate>Wed, 31 Jul 2024 06:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description>Two psychologists endeavor to drink four beers while discussing news and controversies in science, academia, and beyond.
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    <itunes:author>Yoel Inbar, Michael Inzlicht, and Alexa Tullett</itunes:author>
    <itunes:summary>Two psychologists endeavor to drink four beers while discussing news and controversies in science, academia, and beyond.
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      <itunes:name>Yoel Inbar, Michael Inzlicht, and Alexa Tullett</itunes:name>
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  <title>Episode 111: We Are So Back</title>
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  <pubDate>Wed, 31 Jul 2024 06:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
  <author>Yoel Inbar, Michael Inzlicht, and Alexa Tullett</author>
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  <itunes:episode>111</itunes:episode>
  <itunes:title>We Are So Back</itunes:title>
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  <itunes:author>Yoel Inbar, Michael Inzlicht, and Alexa Tullett</itunes:author>
  <itunes:subtitle>Mickey joins Yoel for the first new episode in nearly a year. We talk what's been up with the show, plans for the future, and what it feels like to briefly be (almost) internet-famous. Oh, and we also talk about some research.</itunes:subtitle>
  <itunes:duration>1:01:33</itunes:duration>
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  <description>&lt;p&gt;Mickey joins Yoel for the first new episode in nearly a year. We talk what's been up with the show, plans for the future, and what it feels like to briefly be (almost) internet-famous.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;In the second half of the show, we talk about expertise and prediction. When social scientists make predictions about the future, should we listen? How much should failures of prediction make us distrust expert advice more generally, and if so, how skeptical should we be? &lt;/p&gt;
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    <![CDATA[<p>Mickey joins Yoel for the first new episode in nearly a year. We talk what&#39;s been up with the show, plans for the future, and what it feels like to briefly be (almost) internet-famous.</p>

<p>In the second half of the show, we talk about expertise and prediction. When social scientists make predictions about the future, should we listen? How much should failures of prediction make us distrust expert advice more generally, and if so, how skeptical should we be?</p><p>Links:</p><ul><li><a title="D.E.I. Statements Spark Debate at UCalifornia and Other Universities - The New York Times" rel="nofollow" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/08/us/ucla-dei-statement.html">D.E.I. Statements Spark Debate at UCalifornia and Other Universities - The New York Times</a></li><li><a title="Americans harbor much less favorable explicit sentiments toward young adults than toward older adults | PNAS" rel="nofollow" href="https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2311009121">Americans harbor much less favorable explicit sentiments toward young adults than toward older adults | PNAS</a></li><li><a title="On the accuracy, media representation, and public perception of psychological scientists&#39; judgments of societal change - PubMed" rel="nofollow" href="https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/37079818/">On the accuracy, media representation, and public perception of psychological scientists' judgments of societal change - PubMed</a></li><li><a title="When expert predictions fail - ScienceDirect" rel="nofollow" href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1364661323002632">When expert predictions fail - ScienceDirect</a></li><li><a title="Amyl and The Sniffers - &quot;U Should Not Be Doing That&quot; (Official Music Video) - YouTube" rel="nofollow" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jCxgUPFVFkA">Amyl and The Sniffers - "U Should Not Be Doing That" (Official Music Video) - YouTube</a></li></ul>]]>
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  <itunes:summary>
    <![CDATA[<p>Mickey joins Yoel for the first new episode in nearly a year. We talk what&#39;s been up with the show, plans for the future, and what it feels like to briefly be (almost) internet-famous.</p>

<p>In the second half of the show, we talk about expertise and prediction. When social scientists make predictions about the future, should we listen? How much should failures of prediction make us distrust expert advice more generally, and if so, how skeptical should we be?</p><p>Links:</p><ul><li><a title="D.E.I. Statements Spark Debate at UCalifornia and Other Universities - The New York Times" rel="nofollow" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/08/us/ucla-dei-statement.html">D.E.I. Statements Spark Debate at UCalifornia and Other Universities - The New York Times</a></li><li><a title="Americans harbor much less favorable explicit sentiments toward young adults than toward older adults | PNAS" rel="nofollow" href="https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2311009121">Americans harbor much less favorable explicit sentiments toward young adults than toward older adults | PNAS</a></li><li><a title="On the accuracy, media representation, and public perception of psychological scientists&#39; judgments of societal change - PubMed" rel="nofollow" href="https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/37079818/">On the accuracy, media representation, and public perception of psychological scientists' judgments of societal change - PubMed</a></li><li><a title="When expert predictions fail - ScienceDirect" rel="nofollow" href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1364661323002632">When expert predictions fail - ScienceDirect</a></li><li><a title="Amyl and The Sniffers - &quot;U Should Not Be Doing That&quot; (Official Music Video) - YouTube" rel="nofollow" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jCxgUPFVFkA">Amyl and The Sniffers - "U Should Not Be Doing That" (Official Music Video) - YouTube</a></li></ul>]]>
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